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Let X 5 the time it takes a read/write head to locate the desired record on a computer disk memory device once the head has been positioned over the correct track. If the disks rotate once every \({\bf{25}}\) milliseconds, a reasonable assumption is that X is uniformly distributed on the interval\(\left( {{\bf{0}},{\rm{ }}{\bf{25}}} \right)\). a. Compute\({\bf{P}}\left( {{\bf{10}} \le {\bf{X}} \le {\bf{20}}} \right)\). b. Compute \({\bf{P}}\left( {{\bf{X}} \le {\bf{10}}} \right)\). c. Obtain the cdf F(X). d. Compute E(X) and \({\sigma _X}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified

\(\begin{array}{l}(a)\;0.4\\(b)\;0.6\\(c)\;F(x) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}0&{x < 0}\\{0.04x}&{0 \le x \le 25}\\1&{x > 25}\end{array}} \right.\\(d)\;12.5,7.22\end{array}\)

Step by step solution

01

Definition of Plausibility Probability

In contrast to probability and possibility, which both point to objective reality, plausibility is a totally subjective concept: plausibility can only exist because it is borne by human reasoning. To put it another way, something is only feasible if someone believes it is.

02

Given Data

It is given that X is the time it takes a read/write head to locate the desired record on a computer disk memory device once the head has been positioned over the correct track.

It is also given that X is uniformly distributed on the interval\((0,25)\). Hence value of\(f(x)\)in this interval is equal to:

\(f(x) = \frac{1}{{25 - 0}} = \frac{1}{{25}} = 0.04\)

and zero otherwise. Then\(f(x)\)can be written as:

\(f(x) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{0.04}&{0 < x < 5}\\0&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{array}} \right.\)

03

Calculation for the determination of probability in part a.

(a) We have to compute\(P(10 \le X \le 20)\)

\(\begin{array}{l}P(10 \le X \le 20) = \int_{10}^{20} 0 .04 \cdot dx\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.04(x)_{10}^{20}\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.04(20 - 10)\\P(10 \le X \le 20) = 0.4\end{array}\)

Proposition: Let\({\rm{X}}\)be a continuous\({\rm{rv}}\)with\({\rm{pdf}}\,{\rm{f}}({\rm{x}})\)and\(cdf\;\,{\rm{F}}({\rm{x}})\). Then for any two numbers a and b with\(a < b\),

\(P(a \le X \le b) = \int_a^b f (x) \cdot dx\)

04

Step 4: Calculation for the determination of probability in part b.

(b) We have to compute\(P(10 \le X)\)

\(\begin{array}{l}P(10 \le X) = \int_{10}^\infty f (x) \cdot dx\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = \int_{10}^{25} {(0.04)} \cdot dx + \int_{25}^\infty {(0)} \cdot dx\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.04(x)_{10}^{25}\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.04(25 - 10)\\P(10 \le X) = 0.6\end{array}\)

Proposition: Let X be a continuous rv with\(pdff(x)\)and\(cdf\;F(x)\). Then for any number a,

\(P(a \le X) = \int_a^\infty f (x) \cdot dx\)

05

Step 5: Calculation for the determination of probability in part c.

(c) We recall the definition of cdf of a continuous variable.

Definition: The cumulative distribution function F(x) for a continuous rv, X is defined for every number x by

\(F(x) = P(X \le x) = \int_{ - \infty }^x f (y) \cdot dy\)

we have already derived pdf\(f(x)\)as:

\(f(x) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{0.04}&{0 < x < 25}\\0&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{array}} \right.\)

For any number x between 0 and 25

\(\begin{array}{l}F(X) = \int_0^x {(0.04)} \cdot dy\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = (0.04)\int_0^x d y\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.04(y)_0^x\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.04(x - 0)\\F(X) = 0.04x\end{array}\)

Thus,\(F(X)\)can be given as:

\(F(x) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}0&{x < 0}\\{0.04x}&{0 \le x \le 25}\\1&{x > 25}\end{array}} \right.\)

06

Step 6: Calculation for the determination of probability in part d.

(d) We have already derived pdf\(f(x)\)as:

\(f(x) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{0.04}&{0 < x < 25}\\0&{{\rm{ otherwise }}}\end{array}} \right.\)

The mean value of the given distribution can be given as:

\(\begin{array}{l}E(X) = \int_{ - \infty }^\infty x \cdot f(x) \cdot dx\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = \int_0^{25} x \cdot (0.04) \cdot dx\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.04\int_0^{25} x \cdot dx\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.04\left( {\frac{{{x^2}}}{2}} \right)_0^{25}\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = 0.04\left( {\frac{{{{(25)}^2}}}{2} - \frac{{{{(0)}^2}}}{2}} \right)\\E(X) = 12.5\end{array}\)

Definition: The expected or mean value of a continuous\(rv\,\;X\)with pdf\(f(x)\)is

\(\mu = E(X) = \int_{ - \infty }^\infty x \cdot f(x) \cdot dx\)

07

Step 7: Calculation for the determination of probability in part d.

For the pdf\(f(x)\); to calculate variance, we first calculate\(E\left( {{X^2}} \right)\):

\(\begin{array}{l}E\left( {{X^2}} \right) = \int_{ - \infty }^\infty {{x^2}} \cdot f(x) \cdot dx\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = \int_0^{25} {{x^2}} \cdot (0.04) \cdot dx\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = (0.04)\int_0^{25} {{x^2}} \cdot dx\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = (0.04)\left( {\frac{{{x^3}}}{3}} \right)_0^{25}\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = \frac{{0.04}}{3}\left( {{{(25)}^3} - {{(0)}^3}} \right)\\\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, = \frac{{0.04}}{3}(15625)\\E\left( {{X^2}} \right) = 208.33\end{array}\)

As we have already calculated $E(X)$, hence we use following proposition:

Proposition:\({\sigma _X} = \sqrt {E\left( {{X^2}} \right) - E{{(X)}^2}} \)

Using this, we can write:

\(\begin{array}{l}{\sigma _X} = \sqrt {208.33 - {{(12.5)}^2}} \\{\sigma _X} = 7.22\end{array}\)

Definition: If\({\rm{X}}\)is a continuous rv with pdf\(f(x)\)and\(h(X)\)is any function of\({\rm{X}}\), then

\(E(h(x)) = \int_{ - \infty }^\infty h (x) \cdot f(x) \cdot dx\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The error involved in making a certain measurement is a continuous rv \({\rm{X}}\) with pdf

\({\rm{f(x) = \{ }}\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{{\rm{.09375(4 - }}{{\rm{x}}^2})}&{{\rm{ - 2}} \le {\rm{x}} \le {\rm{2}}}\\{\rm{0}}&{{\rm{otherwise}}}\end{array}\)

a. Sketch the graph of \({\rm{f(x)}}\).

b. Compute \({\rm{P(X > 0)}}\).

c. Compute \({\rm{P( - 1 < X < 1)}}\).

d. Compute \({\rm{P(X < - }}{\rm{.5 or X > }}{\rm{.5)}}\).

A \(12\)-in. bar that is clamped at both ends is to be subjected to an increasing amount of stress until it snaps. Let Y = the distance from the left end at which the break occurs. Suppose Y has pdf

\(f\left( y \right) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{\left( {\frac{1}{{24}}} \right)y\left( {1 - \frac{y}{{12}}} \right)\,\,\,\,\,0 \le y \le 12}\\{0\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,otherwise}\end{array}} \right.\)

Compute the following: a. The cdf of Y, and graph it. b.\(P\left( {Y \le 4} \right), P\left( {Y > 6} \right)\), and\(P\left( {4 \le Y \le 6} \right)\)c. E(Y), E(Y2 ), and V(Y) d. The probability that the breakpoint occurs more than \(2\;\)in. from the expected breakpoint. e. The expected length of the shorter segment when the break occurs.

The defect length of a corrosion defect in a pressurized steel pipe is normally distributed with mean value \({\bf{30}}{\rm{ }}{\bf{mm}}\) and standard deviation \({\bf{7}}.{\bf{8}}{\rm{ }}{\bf{mm}}\) (suggested in the article 鈥淩eliability Evaluation of Corroding Pipelines Considering Multiple Failure Modes and Time Dependent Internal Pressure鈥 (J. of Infrastructure Systems, \({\bf{2011}}:{\rm{ }}{\bf{216}}--{\bf{224}})).\)

a. What is the probability that defect length is at most \({\bf{20}}{\rm{ }}{\bf{mm}}\)? Less than 20 mm?

b. What is the \({\bf{75th}}\) percentile of the defect length distribution鈥攖hat is, the value that separates the smallest \({\bf{75}}\% \)of all lengths from the largest \({\bf{25}}\% \)?

c. What is the \({\bf{15th}}\) percentile of the defect length distribution?

d. What values separate the middle \({\bf{80}}\% \) of the defect length distribution from the smallest \({\bf{10}}\% \)and the largest \({\bf{10}}\% \)?

Let \({\rm{X}}\) have a standard beta density with parameters \({\rm{\alpha }}\) and \({\rm{\beta }}\).

a. Verify the formula for \({\rm{ E}}\left( {\rm{X}} \right)\) given in the section.

b. Compute \({\rm{E}}\left( {{{\left( {{\rm{1 - X}}} \right)}^{\rm{m}}}} \right){\rm{.}}\) If \({\rm{X}}\) represents the proportion of a substance consisting of a particular ingredient, what is the expected proportion that does not consist of this ingredient?

The article "Microwave Observations of Daily Antarctic Sea-Ice Edge Expansion and Contribution Rates" (IEEE Geosci. and Remote Sensing Letters,\({\rm{2006: 54 - 58}}\)) states that "The distribution of the daily sea-ice advance/retreat from each sensor is similar and is approximately double exponential." The proposed double exponential distribution has density function \({\rm{f(x) = }}{\rm{.5\lambda }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - \lambda lel }}}}\)for\( - \yen < x < \yen \). The standard deviation is given as\({\rm{40}}{\rm{.9\;km}}\).

a. What is the value of the parameter\({\rm{\lambda }}\)?

b. What is the probability that the extent of daily sea ice change is within \({\rm{1}}\) standard deviation of the mean value?

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