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A certain shop repairs both audio and video components. Let A denote the event that the next component brought in for repair is an audio component, and let B be the event that the next component is a compact disc player (so the event B is contained in A). Suppose that \(P\left( A \right) = 0.6\)and\(P\left( B \right) = 0.05\). What is\(P\left( {B|A} \right)\)?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability, \(P\left( {A|B} \right) = 0.0833\)

Step by step solution

01

Definition of Probability

The term "probability" simply refers to the likelihood of something occurring. We can talk about the probabilities of certain outcomes鈥攈ow likely they are鈥攚hen we're unsure about the outcome of an event. Statistics is the study of occurrences guided by probability.

02

Calculation for the determination of probability

In the exercise, we are given that

\(\begin{array}{l}P(A) &=& 0.6\\P(B) &=& 0.05\\B \subseteq A\end{array}\)

From \(B \subseteq A\)

we have

\(A \cap B = B \Rightarrow P(A \cap B) = P(B) = 0.05\)

Conditional probability of A given that the event B has occurred, for which \(P(B) > 0\),\(P(A\mid B) = \frac{{P(A \cap B)}}{{P(B)}}\)\(\)

for any two events A and B.

From the definition we have

\(P(B\mid A) = \frac{{P(B \cap A)}}{{P(A)}} = \frac{{P(B)}}{{P(A)}} = \frac{{0.05}}{{0.6}} = 0.0833\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose identical tags are placed on both the left ear and the right ear of a fox. The fox is then let loose for a period of time. Consider the two events \({{\rm{C}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ = }}\){left ear tag is lost} and \({{\rm{C}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ = }}\){right ear tag is lost}. Let 颅 \({\rm{\pi = P(}}{{\rm{C}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{) = P(}}{{\rm{C}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{)}}\),and assume \({{\rm{C}}_{\rm{1}}}\)and \({{\rm{C}}_{\rm{2}}}\) are independent events. Derive an expression (involving p) for the probability that exactly one tag is lost, given that at most one is lost (鈥淓ar Tag Loss in Red Foxes,鈥 J. Wildlife Mgmt., \({\rm{1976: 164--167)}}{\rm{.}}\) (Hint: Draw a tree diagram in which the two initial branches refer to whether the left ear tag was lost.)

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If \({\rm{A}}\)and \({\rm{B}}\) are independent events, show that \({{\rm{A}}^\prime }\) and \({\rm{B}}\)are also independent. (Hint: First establish a relationship between \({\rm{P}}\left( {{{\rm{A}}^{\rm{垄}}}{\rm{脟B}}} \right){\rm{,P(B)}}\), and \(\left. {{\rm{P(A脟B)}}{\rm{.}}} \right)\)

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