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The chance of an IRS audit for a tax return with over $25,000 in income is about 2% per year. We are interested in the expected number of audits a person with that income has in a 20-year period. Assume each year is independent.

a. In words, define the random variable X.

b. List the values that X may take on.

c. Give the distribution of X. X ~ _____(_____,_____)

d. How many audits are expected in a 20-year period?

e. Find the probability that a person is not audited at all.

f. Find the probability that a person is audited more than twice

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The random variable X is the number of audit in a 20year period.

b. The values that X may take on are 0,1,2,........,20.

c. The distribution of X is X~B(20,0.02)

d. 0.4audits are expected in a 20-year period

e. The probability that a person is not audited at all is 0.6676

f. The probability that a person is audited more than twice is0.0071

Step by step solution

01

Content Introduction

The binomial distribution determines the probability of looking at a specific quantity of a success results in a specific quantity of trials.

02

Part (a) Step 1: Explanation

We are given,

The chance of an IRS audit for a tax return with over $25,000in income is about 2%per year with a 20-year period.

Random variable in simple terms generally refers to variables whose values are unknown, therefore, in this case the random variable X is the number of audits in20year period.

03

Part (b) Step 1: Explanation

Make the list of values that you want to use X may take on.

As we can see there is an upper bound for the situation at hand 20then X is

X=0,1,2,.......,20.

04

Part (c) Step 1: Explanation

The random variable is distributed by the data provided X will keep the track of online offerings. The probability distribution of binomial distribution has two parameters n=numberoftrialsandp=probabilityofsuccess.

The binomial distribution is of the form: X~B(n,p)

Therefore, The distribution of X is

X~B(20,0.02)

05

Part (d) Step 1: Explanation

The expected binomial distribution is calculated as:

=np

is the number of audits expected in 20year period,

n=20

p=0.02

Therefore, the number of audits expected in20 year period is:

=np=200.02=0.4

06

Part (e) Step 1: Explanation

The probability that a person is audited is 0.02

Therefore, the probability that a person is not audited at all will be

=1-0.02=0.98

using Binompdf on TI calculator we can calculate the binomial distribution.

role="math" localid="1649089492311" Binompdf(n,p,c)where, role="math" localid="1649089497672" nis number of trials, pis probability of success, cis the probability of c success, for some number c.

The values are: n=20,p=0.02,c=0

Binompdf(20,0.02,0)=0.6676

07

Part (f) Step 1: Explanation

The probability that a person is audited more than twice is0.0071

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