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Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 7鈥22, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Tennis Challenges Since the Hawk-Eye instant replay system for tennis was introduced at the U.S. Open in 2006, men challenged 2441 referee calls, with the result that 1027 of the calls were overturned. Women challenged 1273 referee calls, and 509 of the calls were overturned. We want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that men and women have equal success in challenging calls.

a. Test the claim using a hypothesis test.

b. Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval.

c. Based on the results, does it appear that men and women have equal success in challenging calls?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. There is not sufficient evidence to reject the claim thatmen and women have equal success in challenging calls.

b. The 95% confidence interval is equal to (-0.0124, 0.0542), and it suggests that the claim thatmen and women have equal success in challenging calls is true.

c. Corresponding to the sample results, it appears that men and women have equal success in challenging calls.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Out of 2441 calls made by men, 1027 calls were overturned. Out of 1273 calls made by women, 509 calls were overturned. It is claimed that men and women have equal success in challenging calls.

02

Describe the hypotheses to be tested

Null hypothesis:Men and women have equal success in challenging calls.

H0:p1=p2

Alternate hypothesis:Men and women do not have equal success in challenging calls.

H1:p1p2

03

Calculate the sample statistics

Let n1denote the sample size of the calls challenged by men and n2denote the sample size of the calls challenged by women.

Here, n1=2441andn2=1273

Assume that x1and x2are the number of overturned calls made by men and women respectively.

Letp^1be the sample proportion of calls that were made by men and got overturned.

Thus,

p^1=x1n1=10272441=0.4207

q^1=1-p^1=0.5793

Letp^2be the sample proportion of calls that were made by women and got overturned.

p^2=x2n2=5091273p^2=0.3998

Thus,

q^2=1-p^2=0.6002

The value of the pooled sample proportion is equal to:

p=x1+x2n1+n2=1027+5092441+1273=0.4136


Hence,

q=1-p=1-0.4136=0.5864

04

Compute the value of test statistic

The test statistic is equal to:

z=p^1-p^2-p1-p2pqn1+pqn2=0.4207-0.3998-00.41360.58642441+0.41360.58641273=1.227

Referring to the standard normal distribution table, the critical values of z corresponding to =0.05for a two-tailed test are equal to -1.96 and 1.96.

Referring to the standard normal distribution table, the corresponding p-value is equal to 0.02199.

Here, the value of the test statistic lies between the two critical values.

Therefore, the null hypothesis is failed to reject.

05

Conclusion

a.

There is not sufficient evidence to reject the claim thatmen and women have equal success in challenging calls.

06

Describe the Confidence Interval.

b.

If the level of significance for a two-tailed test is equal to 0.05, then the corresponding confidence level to construct the confidence interval is equal to 95%.

The confidence interval estimate has the following formula:

p^1-p^2-E<p1-p2<p^1-p^2+E

Here, E is the margin of error.

07

Calculate the margin of error

The value of the margin of error is computed below:

E=z2p^1q^1n1+p^2q^2n2=1.960.42070.57932441+0.39980.60021273=0.0333

08

Construct the confidence interval

b.

Substituting the required values, the following confidence interval is obtained:

p^1-p^2-E<p1-p2<p^1-p^2+E(0.4207-0.3998)-0.0333<p1-p2<(0.4207-0.3998)+0.0333-0.0124<p1-p2<0.0542

Thus, the 95% confidence interval is equal to (-0.0124, 0.0542).

This confidence interval contains zero that means the difference in the proportions of overturned calls can be equal to 0.

Therefore, the confidence interval suggests that there is not sufficient evidence to reject the claim thatmen and women have equal success in challenging calls.

09

Compare the accuracy rates.

c.

The sample success ratein challenging callsfor men is equal to 42.07% and the sample success rate in challenging calls for women is 39.98%.

Therefore,it appears that men and women have equal success in challenging calls.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 5鈥16, use the listed paired sample data, and assume that the samples are simple random samples and that the differences have a distribution that is approximately normal.

The Spoken Word Listed below are the numbers of words spoken in a day by each memberof six different couples. The data are randomly selected from the first two columns in Data Set24 鈥淲ord Counts鈥 in Appendix B.

a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that among couples, males speak fewer wordsin a day than females.

b. Construct the confidence interval that could be used for the hypothesis test described in part(a). What feature of the confidence interval leads to the same conclusion reached in part (a)?

Male

15,684

26,429

1,411

7,771

18,876

15,477

14,069

25,835

Female

24,625

13,397

18,338

17,791

12,964

16,937

16,255

18,667

Body TemperaturesListed below are body temperatures from seven different subjects measuredat two different times in a day (from Data Set 3 鈥淏ody Temperatures鈥 in Appendix B).

a.Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that there is no difference between body temperaturesmeasured at 8 AM and at 12 AM.

b.Construct the confidence interval that could be used for the hypothesis test described in part(a). What feature of the confidence interval leads to the same conclusion reached in part (a)

Body Temperature\(\left( {^{\bf{0}}{\bf{F}}} \right)\) at 8AM

96.6

97.0

97.0

97.8

97.0

97.4

96.6

Body Temperature\(\left( {^{\bf{0}}{\bf{F}}} \right)\) at 12AM

99.0

98.4

98.0

98.6

98.5

98.9

98.4

Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 7鈥22, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Bednets to Reduce Malaria In a randomized controlled trial in Kenya, insecticide-treated bednets were tested as a way to reduce malaria. Among 343 infants using bednets, 15 developed malaria. Among 294 infants not using bednets, 27 developed malaria (based on data from 鈥淪ustainability of Reductions in Malaria Transmission and Infant Mortality in Western Kenya with Use of Insecticide-Treated Bed nets,鈥 by Lind blade et al., Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 291, No. 21). We want to use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the incidence of malaria is lower for infants using bed nets.

a. Test the claim using a hypothesis test.

b. Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval.

c. Based on the results, do the bed nets appear to be effective?

Using Confidence Intervals

a. Assume that we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2. Which is better: A hypothesis test or a confidence interval?

b. In general, when dealing with inferences for two population proportions, which two of the following are equivalent: confidence interval method; P-value method; critical value method?

c. If we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2, what confidence level should we use?

d. If we test the claim in part (c) using the sample data in Exercise 1, we get this confidence interval: -0.000508 < p1 - p2 < - 0.000309. What does this confidence interval suggest about the claim?

Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 7鈥22, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Are Seat Belts Effective? A simple random sample of front-seat occupants involved in car crashes is obtained. Among 2823 occupants not wearing seat belts, 31 were killed. Among 7765 occupants wearing seat belts, 16 were killed (based on data from 鈥淲ho Wants Airbags?鈥 by Meyer and Finney, Chance, Vol. 18, No. 2). We want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that seat belts are effective in reducing fatalities.

a. Test the claim using a hypothesis test.

b. Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval.

c. What does the result suggest about the effectiveness of seat belts?

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