Chapter 7: Q.7.10 (page 359)
Let be independent and identically distributed positive random variables. For find
Short Answer
The value ofis
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Chapter 7: Q.7.10 (page 359)
Let be independent and identically distributed positive random variables. For find
The value ofis
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A population is made up of disjoint subgroups. Let denote the proportion of the population that is in subgroup . If the average weight of the members of subgroup is , what is the average weight of the members of the population?
Letbe a sequence of independent uniformrandom variables. In Example , we showed that for , where
This problem gives another approach to establishing that result.
(a) Show by induction on n that for 0 and all
Hint: First condition onand then use the induction hypothesis.
use part (a) to conclude that
Consider a population consisting of individuals able to produce offspring of the same kind. Suppose that by the end of its lifetime, each individual will have produced j new offspring with probability Pj, , independently of the number produced by any other individual. The number of individuals initially present, denoted by X0, is called the size of the zeroth generation. All offspring of the zeroth generation constitute the first generation, and their number is denoted by X1. In general, let Xn denote the size of the nth generation. Let and denote, respectively, the mean and the variance of the number of offspring produced by a single individual. Suppose that X0 = 1鈥 that is, initially there is a single individual in the population
(a) Show that .
(b) Use part (a) to conclude that
(c) Show that
(d) Use part (c) to conclude that
The model just described is known as a branching process, and an important question for a population that evolves along such lines is the probability that the population will eventually die out. Let 蟺 denote this probability when the population starts with a single individual. That is,
(e) Argue that 蟺 satisfies
A certain region is inhabited by r distinct types of a certain species of insect. Each insect caught will, independently of the types of the previous catches, be of type i with probability
(a) Compute the mean number of insects that are caught before the 铿乺st type catch.
(b) Compute the mean number of types of insects that are caught before the 铿乺st type catch.
An urn has black balls. At each stage, a black ball is removed and a new ball that is black with probability and white with probability is put in its place. Find the expected number of stages needed until there are no more black balls in the urn. note: The preceding has possible applications to understanding the AIDS disease. Part of the body鈥檚 immune system consists of a certain class of cells known as T-cells. There are types of T-cells, called CD4 and CD8. Now, while the total number of T-cells in AIDS sufferers is (at least in the early stages of the disease) the same as that in healthy individuals, it has recently been discovered that the mix of CD4 and CD8 T-cells is different. Roughly 60 percent of the T-cells of a healthy person are of the CD4 type, whereas the percentage of the T-cells that are of CD4 type appears to decrease continually in AIDS sufferers. A recent model proposes that the HIV virus (the virus that causes AIDS) attacks CD4 cells and that the body鈥檚 mechanism for replacing killed T-cells does not differentiate between whether the killed T-cell was CD4 or CD8. Instead, it just produces a new T-cell that is CD4 with probability . and CD8 with probability .. However, although this would seem to be a very efficient way of replacing killed T-cells when each one killed is equally likely to be any of the body鈥檚 T-cells (and thus has probability . of being CD4), it has dangerous consequences when facing a virus that targets only the CD4 T-cells
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