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Chapter 9: Q. 9.2 (page 412)

Cars cross a certain point in the highway in accordance with a Poisson process with rate 位 = 3 per minute. If Al runs blindly across the highway, what is the probability that he will be uninjured if the amount of time that it takes him to cross the road is s seconds? (Assume that if he is on the highway when a car passes by, then he will be injured.) Do this exercise for s = 2, 5, 10, 20.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that AI will be uninjured is (s20). Probability for s=2is 0.9048, Probability for s=5is 0.7788, Probability for s=10is 0.6065and Probability for s=20is 0.3679.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

The Poisson process is given with rate 位=3per minute.

02

simplify

The number of cars passed by on the highway during the time when Al crosses the read blindly can be modeled as the Poisson process with rate位=3. As if he needs sseconds to cross the road, the number of cars that pass by is N(s60路3)=N(s20). The necessary and sufficient condition that he will uninjured isN(s20)=0.

So,

P(N(s20)=0)=e-s20

Hence, fors=2,5,10,20

localid="1648043333238" P(N(220)=0)=e-0.1=0.9048P(N(520)=0)=e-0.25=0.7788P(N(1020)=0)=e-0.5=0.6065P(N(2020)=0)=e-0.1=0.3679

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